Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Nov 27, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
1 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld

Sane (71')
Hernandez (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lasme (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Arminia Bielefeld, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bayern Munich 5-0 Arminia Bielefeld

Instead of trying to predict the outcome of this match, many will instead be trying to predict how wide the winning margin will be for Bayern over Bielefeld. Many visitors stand little chance of achieving any kind of a result at the Allianz Arena, so considering the struggles of Bielefeld, it will largely be a task of damage limitation on Saturday, but we are predicting a thoroughly comprehensive victory for Bayern to returning to winning ways in the Bundesliga. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 87.24%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 4.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.7%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (1.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
87.24%	8.42%	4.34%

Both teams to score 51.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

79.97%

20.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

61.83%

38.17%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.05%

2.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.63%

13.37%

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.09%

46.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.58%

82.42%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 87.23%

Arminia Bielefeld 4.34%

Draw 8.42%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
3-0 @ 10.11% 4-0 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 7.66% 4-1 @ 6.75% 2-1 @ 6.52% 5-0 @ 6.29% 1-0 @ 4.89% 5-1 @ 4.76% 6-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.9% 6-1 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 2.56% 7-0 @ 1.86% 5-2 @ 1.8% 7-1 @ 1.41% 6-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 4.64% Total : 87.23%	1-1 @ 3.7% 2-2 @ 2.47% 0-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.87% Total : 8.42%	1-2 @ 1.4% 0-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.9% Total : 4.34%