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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for VfL Bochum in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for VfL Bochum.
Result | ||
VfL Bochum | Draw | Freiburg |
40.73% | 24.47% | 34.81% |
Both teams to score 59.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.59% | 43.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.2% | 65.8% |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.62% | 21.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.64% | 54.36% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.56% | 24.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.13% | 58.87% |
Score Analysis |
VfL Bochum | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 8.76% 1-0 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 6.22% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-0 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.62% Total : 40.73% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 8% 0-1 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.9% 0-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
10 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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