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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
42.3% | 24.69% | 33.01% |
Both teams to score 58.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.13% | 44.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.77% | 67.23% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.74% | 21.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.82% | 54.18% |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.82% | 26.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.73% | 61.27% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
2-1 @ 8.94% 1-0 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.3% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 7.74% 0-1 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.29% Total : 33.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 29 | 29 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 20 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
6 | Freiburg | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
7 | Stuttgart | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 16 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 15 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 12 |
14 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Heidenheim | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 2 |
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