Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
42.3% | 24.69% | 33.01% |
Both teams to score 58.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.13% | 44.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.77% | 67.23% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.74% | 21.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.82% | 54.18% |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.82% | 26.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.73% | 61.27% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
2-1 @ 8.94% 1-0 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.3% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 7.74% 0-1 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.29% Total : 33.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |