Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Dec 20, 2020 at 2.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
4 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Grifo (7'), Demirovic (59'), Gulde (67'), Petersen (90+4' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lukebakio (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Hertha Berlin
42.3%	24.69%	33.01%

Both teams to score 58.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.13%

44.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.77%

67.23%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.74%

21.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.82%

54.18%

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.82%

26.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.73%

61.27%

Score Analysis

Freiburg 42.3%

Hertha Berlin 33.01%

Draw 24.69%

Freiburg	Draw	Hertha Berlin
2-1 @ 8.94% 1-0 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.3%	1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.69%	1-2 @ 7.74% 0-1 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.29% Total : 33.01%