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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Nov 22, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Mainz logo

Freiburg
1 - 3
Mainz 05

Petersen (63')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Mateta (2', 34', 40')
Niakhate (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga match between Freiburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawMainz 05
41.24%25.72%33.04%
Both teams to score 54.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56%49.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52%71.48%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25%23.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1%57.9%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61%28.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.87%64.13%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 41.24%
    Mainz 05 33.04%
    Draw 25.71%
FreiburgDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 6.97%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.24%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.74%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.49%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 5.35%
1-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.04%

Head to Head
Jan 18, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Mainz
1-2
Freiburg
Mateta (82')
Baku (26'), Hack (40'), Kunde (51'), Niakhate (82')
Chang-Hoon (28'), Petersen (41')
Haberer (37'), Abrashi (82')
Aug 17, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Freiburg
3-0
Mainz
Holer (81'), Schmid (84'), Waldschmidt (87' pen.)
Lienhart (62')

St Juste (11'), Latza (30'), Fernandes (34')
Apr 5, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 28
Mainz
5-0
Freiburg
Boetius (20'), Mateta (25', 33', 77'), Onisiwo (73')
Kunde (41'), Latza (57'), Maxim (64')

Hofler (45')
Nov 10, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Freiburg
1-3
Mainz
Sallai (72')
Hofler (67'), Gulde (77')
Gbamin (6'), Mateta (18'), Onisiwo (75')
Onisiwo (84')
Apr 16, 2018 7.30pm
Mainz
2-0
Freiburg
De Blasis (45' pen., 79')
Balogun (75')

Haberer (30'), Gulde (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3RB Leipzig11632189921
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen115512618820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund116142218419
6Freiburg115241315-217
7Stuttgart114432119216
8Union BerlinUnion Berlin1144399016
9Wolfsburg114342018215
10Werder Bremen114341722-515
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
12Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
13Hoffenheim113351722-512
14Augsburg113351323-1012
15Heidenheim113171520-510
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum110291032-222


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