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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
41.24% | 25.72% | 33.04% |
Both teams to score 54.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.56% | 49.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.52% | 71.48% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.25% | 23.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.1% | 57.9% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.61% | 28.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.87% | 64.13% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
1-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 6.97% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.24% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.74% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.49% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.35% 1-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 29 | 29 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 20 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
6 | Freiburg | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
7 | Stuttgart | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 16 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 15 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 12 |
14 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Heidenheim | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 2 |
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