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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
42.43% | 25.29% | 32.28% |
Both teams to score 55.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.21% | 47.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.02% | 69.98% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.55% | 22.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.01% | 55.99% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.94% | 28.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.28% | 63.72% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 9.41% 2-1 @ 8.93% 2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.43% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.3% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 8.01% 1-2 @ 7.6% 0-2 @ 5.09% 1-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4 |
14 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 3 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 1 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |