Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
