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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Heidenheim | Draw | Hoffenheim |
49.81% ( 0.01) | 23.9% ( -0.02) | 26.29% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 56.59% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.99% ( 0.08) | 45% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.64% ( 0.08) | 67.36% ( -0.08) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.86% ( 0.04) | 18.14% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.89% ( 0.06) | 49.11% ( -0.06) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.13% ( 0.05) | 30.87% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.85% ( 0.05) | 67.15% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Heidenheim | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 49.81% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 26.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |