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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wolfsburg in this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
58.42% ( 1.22) | 21.46% ( -0.26) | 20.11% ( -0.96) |
Both teams to score 57.01% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.2% ( -0.12) | 40.79% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.81% ( -0.12) | 63.18% ( 0.12) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.3% ( 0.34) | 13.69% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.08% ( 0.66) | 40.91% ( -0.67) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.05% ( -1) | 33.94% ( 0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.37% ( -1.09) | 70.62% ( 1.09) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.27% Total : 58.42% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.14% Total : 20.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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