Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 1

Aug 19, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
2 - 0
Heidenheim

Wind (6', 27')
Gerhardt (36'), Wimmer (45+5'), Vranckx (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Makkabi 0-6 Wolfsburg
Sunday, August 13 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Heidenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Rostocker FC 0-8 Heidenheim
Sunday, August 13 at 12pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

We said: Wolfsburg 3-1 Heidenheim

Heidenheim will be immensely motivated for this match given that it will be their first ever Bundesliga match in the club's history, but it could prove to be a rude awakening for them regarding the amount of quality at this level. While we expect Wolfsburg to be worked hard for their victory, Kovac's side became an increasingly solid team as last season wore on, and they will hope to qualify for Europe this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Heidenheim
30.04% ( 1.14)	23.95% ( 0.04)	46.01% ( -1.17)

Both teams to score 59.28% (

0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.26% (

0.49)

42.74% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.86% (

0.49)

65.14% (

-0.48)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.98% (

1.02)

27.02% (

-1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.63% (

1.31)

62.37% (

-1.3)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.22% (

-0.28)

18.78% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.82% (

-0.47)

50.18% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 30.04%

Heidenheim 46.01%

Draw 23.95%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Heidenheim
2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.04% Total : 30.04%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.95%	1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 46.01%