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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Hoffenheim logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 0
Hoffenheim

Nkunku (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rudy (62'), Akpoguma (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
Sunday, April 23 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 FC Koln
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Hoffenheim

 Both sides will be keen to quickly bounce back from setbacks last weekend and put together another good run of form heading down the home straight to ensure that they meet their respective top-flight targets. Having already beaten Hoffenheim twice this season by an aggregate score of 6-2, Leipzig will be regarded as favourites to come out on top on Saturday and they should have too much for the visitors in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawHoffenheim
68.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 18.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 13.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 54.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.26% (0.013000000000005 0.01)36.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.1% (0.015999999999998 0.02)58.9% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.19% (0.0039999999999907 0)9.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.42% (0.013000000000005 0.01)32.58% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)75.82% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 68.3%
    Hoffenheim 13.67%
    Draw 18.02%
RB LeipzigDrawHoffenheim
2-0 @ 10.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 8%
3-1 @ 7.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 4.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 68.3%
1-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.56%
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.02%
1-2 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 3.6% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 13.67%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim

RB Leipzig
78.4%
Draw
2.7%
Hoffenheim
18.9%
37
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 5pm
Round of 16
RB Leipzig
3-1
Hoffenheim
Forsberg (8'), Laimer (41'), Werner (83')
Dolberg (76')
Angelino (34'), Tohumcu (40'), Nsoki (58')
Nsoki (86')
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 13
Hoffenheim
1-3
RB Leipzig
Rutter (50')
Geiger (13')
Nkunku (17', 57'), Olmo (69')
Apr 10, 2022 6.30pm
gameweek 29
RB Leipzig
3-0
Hoffenheim
Nkunku (5'), Halstenberg (20'), Szoboszlai (44')
Mukiele (76')

Kaderabek (71'), Richards (77')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 12
Hoffenheim
2-0
RB Leipzig
Samassekou (12'), Dabour (68')
Grillitsch (42'), Nordtveit (90+3')

Silva (35'), Angelino (84')
Apr 16, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 29
RB Leipzig
0-0
Hoffenheim

Posch (46'), Baumgartner (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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