Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Dec 18, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Olympic Stadium

Hertha Berlin
3 - 2
Dortmund

Belfodil (51'), Richter (57', 69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Brandt (31'), Tigges (83')
Pongracic (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-3 Borussia Dortmund

Although Dortmund are still not playing at their best, the importance of heading into the break on the back of a win should prove enough to see them put in a display worthy of coming out victorious at the Olympiastadion on Saturday. Their goalscoring touch is back following the return of Haaland in recent matches, and with Hertha's leaky defence continuing to shake, Dortmund will see an opportunity to outscore their opponents despite their questionable defence themselves. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.65%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 21.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Hertha Berlin	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
21.78%	21.57%	56.65%

Both teams to score 59.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.99%

39.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.67%

61.33%

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.64%

31.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.28%

67.72%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.36%

13.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.18%

40.82%

Score Analysis

Hertha Berlin 21.78%

Borussia Dortmund 56.65%

Draw 21.57%

Hertha Berlin	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.73% 1-0 @ 4.96% 2-0 @ 2.88% 3-1 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 2.21% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.67% Total : 21.78%	1-1 @ 9.88% 2-2 @ 5.71% 0-0 @ 4.28% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.57%	1-2 @ 9.84% 0-1 @ 8.52% 0-2 @ 8.49% 1-3 @ 6.54% 0-3 @ 5.64% 2-3 @ 3.79% 1-4 @ 3.26% 0-4 @ 2.81% 2-4 @ 1.89% 1-5 @ 1.3% 0-5 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.48% Total : 56.65%