Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 11, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Bayern2 - 1Mainz 05
We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Mainz 05
Despite the success of the visitors so far this campaign, Bayern will be expected to win comfortably at the Allianz Arena on Saturday. When the champions are playing in this kind of form, it is difficult to see how many teams in the world could stop them, so Mainz are likely to be playing for damage limitation unfortunately for them. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 84.65%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 5.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 4-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.56%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 84.65% | 10.04% | 5.31% |
| Both teams to score 50.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
