MX23RW : Monday, March 10 18:23:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Augsburg logo

Mainz
0 - 0
Augsburg


Jenz (8'), Weiper (34'), Leitsch (76')
FT

Essende (43'), Zesiger (45+7'), Gouweleeuw (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-0 Mainz
Friday, January 31 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-0 Augsburg
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Mainz 05 2-2 Augsburg

Although last season's corresponding fixture ended 1-0 to Mainz, this contest has typically been goal-laden since 2021, with both teams scoring. That pattern should continue this weekend as both teams share the spoils in round 21. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawAugsburg
50.92% (-0.927 -0.93) 24.08% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 25% (0.929 0.93)
Both teams to score 54.75% (1 1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.14% (0.849 0.85)46.86% (-0.85 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88% (0.789 0.79)69.11% (-0.789 -0.79)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)18.42% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.41% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)49.59% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.11% (1.255 1.26)32.89% (-1.255 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (1.369 1.37)69.46% (-1.37 -1.37)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 50.91%
    Augsburg 25%
    Draw 24.07%
Mainz 05DrawAugsburg
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.333 -0.33)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.89% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 50.91%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.162 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.34% (0.198 0.2)
0-2 @ 3.75% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.15 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.125 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 25%

How you voted: Mainz vs Augsburg

Mainz 05
73.3%
Draw
22.2%
Augsburg
4.4%
45
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Augsburg
2-3
Mainz
Schlotterbeck (25'), Essende (57')
Onyeka (84'), Gouweleeuw (90+12'), Rexhbecaj (90+11')
Essende (70')
Sieb (13'), Burkardt (15', 49')
Hanche-Olsen (28'), Amiri (33'), Henriksen (56'), Widmer (90+7'), Kohr (90')
Amiri (35')
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Mainz
1-0
Augsburg
Van den Berg (43')
Jae-sung (35'), Kohr (90+7'), van den Berg (90+14')

Dahmen (45+5'), Gouweleeuw (90+8')
Pedersen (90+12')
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Augsburg
2-1
Mainz
Demirovic (15', 45')
Dorsch (90+1'), Beljo (90+5')
Engels (62')
Ajorque (6')
Gruda (74'), Zentner (77'), Jae-sung (90+7')
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Mainz
3-1
Augsburg
Jae-sung (21', 52'), Onisiwo (24')
Demirovic (28' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Augsburg
1-2
Mainz
Demirovic (35')
Gouweleeuw (3'), Rexhbecaj (29')
Onisiwo (31'), Jae-sung (90+3')
Bell (29'), Burkardt (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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