Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Mainz0 - 0Augsburg
We said: Mainz 05 2-2 Augsburg
Although last season's corresponding fixture ended 1-0 to Mainz, this contest has typically been goal-laden since 2021, with both teams scoring. That pattern should continue this weekend as both teams share the spoils in round 21. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Augsburg |
50.92% ( -0.93) | 24.08% ( -0) | 25% ( 0.93) |
| Both teams to score 54.75% ( 1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.14% ( 0.85) | 46.86% ( -0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.88% ( 0.79) | 69.11% ( -0.79) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.57% ( -0.04) | 18.42% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.41% ( -0.06) | 49.59% ( 0.06) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.11% ( 1.26) | 32.89% ( -1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.54% ( 1.37) | 69.46% ( -1.37) |
| Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 50.91%
Augsburg 25%
Draw 24.07%
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Augsburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.37% Total : 50.91% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.46% Total : 25% |
How you voted: Mainz vs Augsburg
Mainz 05
73.3%Draw
22.2%Augsburg
4.4%45
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Augsburg
2-3
Mainz
Schlotterbeck (25'), Essende (57')
Onyeka (84'), Gouweleeuw (90+12'), Rexhbecaj (90+11')
Essende (70')
Onyeka (84'), Gouweleeuw (90+12'), Rexhbecaj (90+11')
Essende (70')
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Mainz
1-0
Augsburg
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Augsburg
1-2
Mainz
Form Guide
