Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Mainz2 - 0Stuttgart
We said: Mainz 05 1-3 Stuttgart
Without Burkardt, whose five match-winning goals are below only Harry Kane, Mainz's task against the in-form Swabians is extra difficult. Thus, Stuttgart could notch a fourth consecutive Bundesliga triumph this weekend, extending their undefeated run against the 05ers to 10 without losing. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Stuttgart |
26.48% ( 0.05) | 23% ( -0.05) | 50.53% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 59.88% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
