Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Mainz2 - 0Stuttgart
We said: Mainz 05 1-3 Stuttgart
Without Burkardt, whose five match-winning goals are below only Harry Kane, Mainz's task against the in-form Swabians is extra difficult. Thus, Stuttgart could notch a fourth consecutive Bundesliga triumph this weekend, extending their undefeated run against the 05ers to 10 without losing. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Stuttgart |
26.48% ( 0.05) | 23% ( -0.05) | 50.53% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 59.88% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.26% ( 0.29) | 40.74% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.88% ( 0.29) | 63.12% ( -0.29) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.52% ( 0.19) | 28.47% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.75% ( 0.24) | 64.24% ( -0.23) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.72% ( 0.11) | 16.28% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.17% ( 0.19) | 45.83% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 26.48%
Stuttgart 50.53%
Draw 23%
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 3.52% Total : 26.48% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.81% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.1% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 50.53% |
How you voted: Mainz vs Stuttgart
Mainz 05
21.0%Draw
24.2%Stuttgart
54.8%62
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Stuttgart
3-1
Mainz
May 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Mainz
1-4
Stuttgart
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
Form Guide
