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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Stuttgart

Mainz
vs.
Stuttgart

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Mainz
Sunday, January 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 1-3 Stuttgart
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stuttgart win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 26.43% and a draw has a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win is 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.61%).

Result
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
26.43% (-2.422 -2.42) 23.05% (-1.097 -1.1) 50.52% (3.516 3.52)
Both teams to score 59.65% (1.808 1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.98% (3.271 3.27)41.02% (-3.275 -3.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.59% (3.255 3.26)63.41% (-3.259 -3.26)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)28.66% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)64.48% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.61% (2.597 2.6)16.38% (-2.602 -2.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.98% (4.505 4.51)46.02% (-4.509 -4.51)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 26.43%
    Stuttgart 50.52%
    Draw 23.04%
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 6.63% (-0.435 -0.44)
1-0 @ 5.87% (-0.929 -0.93)
2-0 @ 3.67% (-0.587 -0.59)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.247 -0.25)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 26.43%
1-1 @ 10.61% (-0.68 -0.68)
2-2 @ 6% (0.127 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.736 -0.74)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.04%
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.218 0.22)
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.529 -0.53)
0-2 @ 7.68% (0.185 0.19)
1-3 @ 5.79% (0.592 0.59)
0-3 @ 4.63% (0.48 0.48)
2-3 @ 3.62% (0.365 0.37)
1-4 @ 2.62% (0.459 0.46)
0-4 @ 2.1% (0.37 0.37)
2-4 @ 1.64% (0.285 0.29)
1-5 @ 0.95% (0.23 0.23)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 50.52%

Who will win Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz and Stuttgart?

Mainz 05
Draw
Stuttgart
Mainz 05
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Stuttgart
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Stuttgart
3-3
Mainz
Millot (8'), Leweling (15'), Rieder (88')
Karazor (36'), Chabot (53'), Millot (57'), Vagnomann (84')
Amiri (43' pen.), Burkardt (62'), Leitsch (90+4')
Riess (71'), Widmer (79')
Feb 11, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Stuttgart
3-1
Mainz
Mittelstadt (45+2'), Leweling (45+4'), Undav (73')
Karazor (82')
Ajorque (76')
Guilavogui (84')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Mainz
1-3
Stuttgart
Barreiro (69')
Caci (11')
Guirassy (56', 84', 90+7')
Stiller (60'), Anton (67')
May 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Mainz
1-4
Stuttgart
Ingvartsen (23')
Kohr (61'), Bell (75'), Ajorque (90+5')
Endo (41'), Guirassy (64'), Fuhrich (78'), Coulibaly (90+1')
Endo (73')
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Stuttgart
1-1
Mainz
Guirassy (36')
Ingvartsen (40' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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