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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | VfL Bochum |
49.15% (![]() | 23.85% (![]() | 27% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.4% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.78% (![]() | 44.22% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.4% (![]() | 66.6% (![]() |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.9% (![]() | 18.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.96% (![]() | 49.04% (![]() |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.09% (![]() | 29.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.99% (![]() | 66.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-1 @ 9.55% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.25% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.91% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.44% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.51% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 3.57% Total : 49.15% | 1-1 @ 11.16% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 6.74% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.59% ( ![]() Other @ 3.17% Total : 27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |