MX23RW : Monday, March 10 10:02:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Jan 31, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
Mainz logo

Werder Bremen
1 - 0
Mainz

Bittencourt (14')
Friedl (26'), Stark (42'), Schmid (78'), Zetterer (90+1'), Weiser (90+8'), Lynen (90+2')
Werner (90+8'), Friedl (90+4'), Stark (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zentner (10'), (15'), Caci (44'), Jae-sung (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 2-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, January 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 2-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, January 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-2 Mainz 05

Mainz could come under pressure from Werder Bremen given the hosts have been strong at home this season. However, Mainz boast an excellent defensive record, and they may hold out against Werder Bremen for large periods of the game, especially considering the Green-Whites have not always been productive in front of goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
48.78% (0.0020000000000024 0) 23.72% (0.0020000000000024 0) 27.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 58.28% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.75%43.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.35%65.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.36% (0.00099999999999767 0)48.64% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.06% (0.0010000000000048 0)64.94% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 48.78%
    Mainz 05 27.5%
    Draw 23.72%
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.51%
1-0 @ 8.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-0 @ 4.42%
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.35%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 48.78%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 5.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 27.5%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Mainz

Werder Bremen
29.4%
Draw
22.4%
Mainz 05
48.3%
143
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Mainz
1-2
Werder Bremen
Jae-sung (27')
Kohr (45+1'), Caci (45'), Mwene (66')
Ducksch (8' pen.), Kohn (69')
Zetterer (60')
Friedl (60')
Feb 3, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Mainz
0-1
Werder Bremen

Krauss (67'), Amiri (79'), Richter (87'), Caci (88')
Ducksch (2')
Stark (35'), Friedl (45'), Bittencourt (88')
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Werder Bremen
4-0
Mainz
Ducksch (3' pen.), Stage (53'), Bittencourt (82'), Njinmah (83')
Stage (10'), Friedl (55')

Hanche-Olsen (2'), van den Berg (65'), van den Berg (65+65')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Mainz
2-2
Werder Bremen
Ajorque (85'), Weiper (90+3')
Stage (87'), Fullkrug (90+5')
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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