Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Aug 20, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
1 - 2
Mainz 05

Demirovic (35')
Gouweleeuw (3'), Rexhbecaj (29')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Onisiwo (31'), Jae-sung (90+3')
Bell (29'), Burkardt (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

Last Six:

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-2 Augsburg
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Hoffenheim	2	-1	3
9	Augsburg	2	-3	3
10	Werder Bremen	2	0	2

Mainz 05

Last Six:

Last Game: Mainz 05 0-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, August 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Union Berlin	2	2	4
6	Mainz 05	2	1	4
7	Freiburg	2	2	3

We said: Augsburg 1-1 Mainz 05

With both teams adopting similar formations, we can envisage a low-scoring, tight encounter in Augsburg on Saturday. The visitors were involved in a goalless draw last time out and may be content to remain unbeaten, with Augsburg unlikely to push too hard for a winner either. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Mainz 05
32.5% ( 0.04)	26.59% ( 0.09)	40.91% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 51.61% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.78% (

-0.36)

53.22% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.22% (

-0.31)

74.78% (

0.31)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.38% (

-0.16)

30.62% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15% (

-0.19)

66.85% (

0.19)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.38% (

-0.23)

25.62% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.48% (

-0.32)

60.51% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 32.5%

Mainz 05 40.9%

Draw 26.59%

Augsburg	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.5%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 40.9%