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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 29.5% and a draw has a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win is 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.29%).
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Mainz 05 |
44.66% ( -4.35) | 25.84% ( 0.79) | 29.5% ( 3.57) |
Both teams to score 52.67% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.75% ( -1.05) | 51.25% ( 1.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.92% ( -0.92) | 73.08% ( 0.93) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.12% ( -2.37) | 22.88% ( 2.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.38% ( -3.63) | 56.62% ( 3.63) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.3% ( 2.21) | 31.7% ( -2.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.88% ( 2.46) | 68.12% ( -2.46) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Mainz 05 |
1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.84) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.53) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.73) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.33) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.4) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.65% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.81) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.62) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.72) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.38) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.37) Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 53 | 13 | 40 | 42 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 38 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
5 | Stuttgart | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
14 | St Pauli | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
15 | Heidenheim | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 14 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 9 |
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