Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
