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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 16, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Mainz logo

Dortmund
1 - 1
Mainz 05

Meunier (73')
Can (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oztunali (57')
Mwene (40'), Hack (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawMainz 05
67.87%17.82%14.31%
Both teams to score 57.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.83%34.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.94%56.06%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.78%9.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.79%31.21%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46%36.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.68%73.32%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 67.87%
    Mainz 05 14.31%
    Draw 17.82%
Borussia DortmundDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 9.57%
1-0 @ 8.03%
3-1 @ 7.66%
3-0 @ 7.61%
4-1 @ 4.56%
4-0 @ 4.53%
3-2 @ 3.86%
4-2 @ 2.3%
5-1 @ 2.18%
5-0 @ 2.16%
5-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 4.68%
Total : 67.87%
1-1 @ 8.09%
2-2 @ 4.85%
0-0 @ 3.37%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 17.82%
1-2 @ 4.07%
0-1 @ 3.39%
0-2 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.63%
1-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 14.31%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Mainz 05

Borussia Dortmund
84.6%
Draw
7.7%
Mainz 05
7.7%
91
Head to Head
Jun 17, 2020 7.30pm
Dec 14, 2019 2.30pm
Apr 13, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Dortmund
2-1
Mainz
Sancho (17', 24')
Quaison (83')
Mateta (42')
Nov 24, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Mainz
1-2
Dortmund
Quaison (70')
Hack (26'), Kunde (30')
Alcacer (66'), Piszczek (76')
Delaney (34')
May 5, 2018 2.30pm
Dortmund
1-2
Mainz
Philipp (16')
Weigl (41'), Reus (54'), Sokratis (77')
Baku (4'), Muto (13')
Baku (30'), Muto (67'), Bell (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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