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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 24.97% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Wolfsburg |
52.04% | 22.99% | 24.97% |
Both teams to score 58.35% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.92% | 42.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.52% | 64.48% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.77% | 16.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.26% | 45.74% |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.65% | 30.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.46% | 66.54% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 8.14% 3-1 @ 5.89% 3-0 @ 4.94% 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.68% 4-0 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.41% Total : 52.04% | 1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 6.37% 0-1 @ 5.87% 0-2 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 3% Total : 24.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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