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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Jan 3, 2021 at 5pm UK
Allianz Arena
Mainz logo

Bayern
5 - 2
Mainz 05

Kimmich (50'), Sane (55'), Sule (70'), Lewandowski (76' pen., 83')
Boateng (32'), Alaba (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Burkardt (32'), Hack (44')
Boetius (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 84.2%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 6.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 7.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.87%) and 4-0 (7.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.67%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawMainz 05
84.2%9.58%6.22%
Both teams to score 61.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
83.4%16.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
66.89%33.11%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.21%2.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.23%12.76%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.82%37.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04%73.95%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 84.2%
    Mainz 05 6.22%
    Draw 9.58%
Bayern MunichDrawMainz 05
3-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 7.87%
4-0 @ 7.12%
4-1 @ 7.05%
2-0 @ 6.65%
2-1 @ 6.58%
5-0 @ 5.11%
5-1 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 3.89%
1-0 @ 3.71%
4-2 @ 3.49%
6-0 @ 3.05%
6-1 @ 3.02%
5-2 @ 2.5%
7-0 @ 1.56%
7-1 @ 1.55%
6-2 @ 1.5%
4-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 5.4%
Total : 84.2%
1-1 @ 3.67%
2-2 @ 3.26%
3-3 @ 1.28%
0-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 9.58%
1-2 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.07%
0-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 6.22%

How you voted: Bayern vs Mainz 05

Bayern Munich
88.1%
Draw
5.1%
Mainz 05
6.8%
59
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Mainz
1-3
Bayern
St Juste (45')
St Juste (57'), Boetius (87'), Latza (88')
Lewandowski (8'), Muller (14'), Alcantara (26')
Goretzka (64')
Aug 31, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bayern
6-1
Mainz
Pavard (36'), Alaba (45'), Perisic (54'), Coman (64'), Lewandowski (78'), Davies (80')
Kimmich (20'), Hernandez (73'), Alcantara (75')
Boetius (6')
Niakhate (33'), Hack (45'), Kunde (77')
Mar 17, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 26
Bayern
6-0
Mainz
Lewandowski (3'), Rodriguez (33', 51', 55'), Coman (39'), Davies (70')
Sule (72')
Oct 27, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Mainz
1-2
Bayern
Boetius (48')
Caricol (43'), Oztunali (61'), Ujah (88')
Goretzka (39'), Alcantara (62')
Martinez (86')
Feb 3, 2018 2.30pm
Mainz
0-2
Bayern
Ribery (33'), Rodriguez (44')
Rudy (35'), Wagner (41'), Boateng (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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