Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 4, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Mainz 053 - 0Wolfsburg
We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Wolfsburg
Based on recent form and quality provided so far this season, there is little to separate these two sides heading into their clash on Saturday. As a result, a tight affair with few goals is being predicted by us, with a low-scoring draw looking likely at the Opel Arena. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 42.81% | 26% | 31.19% |
| Both teams to score 52.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.78% | 51.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.94% | 73.06% |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.24% | 23.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.09% | 57.9% |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.5% | 30.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.29% | 66.71% |
| Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 42.81%
Wolfsburg 31.19%
Draw 26%
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.93% Total : 42.81% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.19% |
How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg
Mainz 05
34.0%Draw
27.7%Wolfsburg
38.3%47
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
Feb 23, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 23
Wolfsburg
4-0
Mainz
Form Guide
