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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | St Pauli |
33.12% ( -0.01) | 24.56% ( 0.13) | 42.32% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 58.6% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.74% ( -0.63) | 44.26% ( 0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.36% ( -0.61) | 66.63% ( 0.61) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.17% ( -0.31) | 25.82% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.21% ( -0.42) | 60.79% ( 0.41) |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79% ( -0.33) | 21% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.23% ( -0.51) | 53.77% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | St Pauli |
2-1 @ 7.76% 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.12% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 42.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 30 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 26 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 23 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 21 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
7 | Freiburg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 18 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 17 |
11 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Augsburg | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 12 |
15 | St Pauli | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 33 | -23 | 2 |
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