MX23RW : Saturday, December 7 05:52:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Freiburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
0 - 3
St Pauli


Ginter (35'), Kubler (44'), Hofler (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Saad (12', 72'), Afolayan (45')
Eggestein (53'), Saliakas (63'), Banks (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 0-3 Freiburg
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-0 RB Leipzig
Sunday, September 22 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-0 St Pauli

Freiburg have been one of the standout performers over the first four games of the season, and they will see this as a match that they should be coming away from with all three points, given their opponents record to this point. While St Pauli managed to pick up an against-the-odds point against Leipzig last time out, we feel they will struggle to get anything from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawSt Pauli
33.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.56% (0.134 0.13) 42.32% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 58.6% (-0.484 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.74% (-0.629 -0.63)44.26% (0.628 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.36% (-0.614 -0.61)66.63% (0.61199999999999 0.61)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (-0.30799999999999 -0.31)25.82% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (-0.416 -0.42)60.79% (0.41399999999999 0.41)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33)21% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.23% (-0.508 -0.51)53.77% (0.506 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 33.12%
    St Pauli 42.32%
    Draw 24.55%
FreiburgDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 7.76%
1-0 @ 7.34% (0.136 0.14)
2-0 @ 4.97% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 33.12%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.42% (0.146 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.147 0.15)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.65% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 42.32%

How you voted: Freiburg vs St Pauli

Freiburg
93.8%
Draw
3.1%
St Pauli
3.1%
64
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 5pm
Second Round
Freiburg
2-1
St Pauli
Ginter (90+3'), Gregoritsch (119')
Daschner (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Stuttgart135532623320
7Freiburg126241616020
8Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
9Wolfsburg125342519618
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim123361724-712
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim123181524-910
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232


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