Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Stuttgart4 - 0Freiburg
We said: Stuttgart 3-1 Freiburg
Stuttgart's outstanding form in recent weeks should mean they come into Saturday's clash as clear favourites. Though Freiburg will believe that they can threaten Stuttgart given the hosts have been somewhat porous defensively, the visitors have proven vulnerable at the back themselves, and their frailty could ultimately prove costly. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 70.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 12.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Freiburg |
| 70.28% | 17.2% | 12.52% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 54.51% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.4% ( 0.01) | 35.6% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.34% ( 0.01) | 57.66% ( -0.01) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.95% | 9.05% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.21% ( 0) | 30.79% ( -0.01) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.93% ( 0.01) | 40.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.29% ( 0.01) | 76.71% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Stuttgart 70.27%
Freiburg 12.52%
Draw 17.2%
| Stuttgart | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.38% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.66% 4-0 @ 5.03% 4-1 @ 4.6% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.42% 5-1 @ 2.21% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.01% 6-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.63% Total : 70.27% | 1-1 @ 7.97% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.63% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.2% | 1-2 @ 3.64% 0-1 @ 3.32% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.33% 1-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.6% Total : 12.52% |
How you voted: Stuttgart vs Freiburg
Stuttgart
86.4%Draw
13.6%Freiburg
0.0%44
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Freiburg
3-1
Stuttgart
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
0-1
Freiburg
Form Guide
