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Freiburg logo
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 19, 2022 at 5pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
2 - 1
St Pauli

Ginter (90+3'), Gregoritsch (119')
Kubler (80')
FT
(aet)
Daschner (42')
Fazliji (41'), Paqarada (44'), Aremu (79'), Daschner (79'), Wieckhoff (98'), Irvine (103'), Dzwigala (120+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Freiburg and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Freiburg
Sunday, October 16 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 3-0 Hamburger SV
Friday, October 14 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

We say: Freiburg 3-0 St Pauli

Despite their excellent win at the weekend, St Pauli do not travel well and may find it very tough away to a Bundesliga side fighting near the top at the moment. Freiburg will just hope this is a stress-free encounter which can help rebuild some of the confidence lost by their heavy defeat at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%).

Result
FreiburgDrawSt Pauli
40.49% (1.018 1.02) 24.23% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 35.28% (-1.045 -1.05)
Both teams to score 60.36% (-0.265 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79% (-0.281 -0.28)42.21% (0.28100000000001 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.39% (-0.284 -0.28)64.61% (0.283 0.28)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.02% (0.36399999999999 0.36)20.97% (-0.364 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.26% (0.563 0.56)53.73% (-0.563 -0.56)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (-0.69 -0.69)23.62% (0.69 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3% (-1.008 -1.01)57.7% (1.008 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 40.49%
    St Pauli 35.28%
    Draw 24.22%
FreiburgDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.124 0.12)
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.04% (0.206 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.14 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 40.49%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.95% (0.061 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.16% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 35.28%

How you voted: Freiburg vs St Pauli

Freiburg
89.7%
Draw
7.7%
St Pauli
2.6%
39
rhs 2.0
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2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Bournemouth167452421325
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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