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VfL Bochum
Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 15, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum
1 - 0
St Pauli

Hofmann (66')
Holtmann (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (69'), Irvine (72'), Afolayan (80')
Dzwigala (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 2-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: VfL Bochum 1-1 St Pauli

With both sides level on the form table, accruing six points apiece from their previous five matches, and Bochum and St Pauli seldom producing encouraging goalscoring numbers — the away side have scored the fewest goals in the league (12) — the spoils could be shared in North Rhine-Westphalia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.

Result
VfL BochumDrawSt Pauli
39.38% (-0.827 -0.83) 23.86% (0.089000000000002 0.09) 36.76% (0.742 0.74)
Both teams to score 61.96% (-0.246 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.79% (-0.356 -0.36)40.21% (0.36000000000001 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.42% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)62.58% (0.372 0.37)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.53800000000001 -0.54)20.64% (0.543 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (-0.857 -0.86)53.21% (0.862 0.86)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (0.221 0.22)21.92% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (0.333 0.33)55.19% (-0.328 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 39.38%
    St Pauli 36.76%
    Draw 23.85%
VfL BochumDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
1-0 @ 7.14%
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 39.38%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.49% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.075 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.107 0.11)
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.153 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.16% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.094 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.76%

How you voted: VfL Bochum vs St Pauli

VfL Bochum
42.5%
Draw
43.8%
St Pauli
13.7%
73
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 18
St Pauli
2-3
VfL Bochum
Burgstaller (4'), Kyereh (32')
Zoller (28', 43'), Buballa (63' og.)
Gamboa (10')
Sep 21, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
VfL Bochum
2-2
St Pauli
Zulj (26'), Zoller (76')
Losilla (73')
Kyereh (84', 86')
Ohlsson (10'), Avevor (44'), Paqarada (47')
Jun 5, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
VfL Bochum
2-0
St Pauli
Zulj (15' pen.), Leitsch (73')
Tesche (55'), Osei-Tutu (69'), Zulj (77')

Skiri Oestigaard (14'), Ohlsson (36'), Gyokeres (75')
Nov 8, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 13
St Pauli
1-1
VfL Bochum
Sobota (10')
Ziereis (72')
Zoller (5')
Soares (50'), Blum (85')
May 12, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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