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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.39%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
22.7% | 21.91% | 55.39% |
Both teams to score 59.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.53% | 39.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.19% | 61.81% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.2% | 30.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.92% | 67.08% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.81% | 14.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.1% | 41.9% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 5.92% 1-0 @ 5.15% 2-0 @ 3.03% 3-1 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 2.27% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.82% Total : 22.7% | 1-1 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 5.78% 0-0 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.91% | 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-1 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 8.33% 1-3 @ 6.39% 0-3 @ 5.42% 2-3 @ 3.76% 1-4 @ 3.12% 0-4 @ 2.65% 2-4 @ 1.84% 1-5 @ 1.22% 0-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.29% Total : 55.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 78 | 26 | 52 | 65 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 59 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 48 |
4 | Mainz 05Mainz | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 45 |
5 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 43 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 42 |
7 | Freiburg | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 42 |
8 | Augsburg | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 39 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 38 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 38 |
11 | Stuttgart | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 37 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 30 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 27 |
15 | St Pauli | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
16 | Heidenheim | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 22 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 20 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 67 | -29 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |