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Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
 
Freiburg logo

Stuttgart
0 - 1
Freiburg


Sosa (15'), Fuhrich (28'), Ahamada (46'), Mavropanos (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Grifo (11')
Sallai (28'), Keitel (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

Last Six:
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

Last Six:
Last Game: Freiburg 1-3 Dortmund
Friday, August 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-2 Freiburg

 We expect a fascinating tactical battle in Stuttgart on Saturday, with both teams capable of counter-attacking in the blink of an eye. Freiburg are a more consistent collective unit, though, and we expect them to bounce back from their unfortunate defeat to Dortmund with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
StuttgartDrawFreiburg
32.48% (-0.251 -0.25) 25.19% (0.004999999999999 0) 42.32% (0.244 0.24)
Both teams to score 56.19% (-0.114 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.7% (-0.108 -0.11)47.3% (0.106 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.47% (-0.101 -0.1)69.52% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (-0.21499999999999 -0.21)27.69% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75% (-0.272 -0.27)63.24% (0.271 0.27)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (0.070999999999998 0.07)22.29% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25% (0.105 0.11)55.75% (-0.107 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 32.48%
    Freiburg 42.32%
    Draw 25.18%
StuttgartDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.09% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.18% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 32.48%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 9.26% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.95% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.48% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 42.32%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Freiburg

Stuttgart
29.4%
Draw
23.5%
Freiburg
47.1%
34
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-0
Stuttgart
Ito (37' og.), Schade (72')
Hofler (24')

Sosa (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Freiburg
Mavropanos (45'), Al Ghaddioui (45+2')
Forster (13'), Klimowicz (55')
Woo-yeong (3', 9'), Holer (28')
Schade (89')
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
Stuttgart
Demirovic (14'), Woo-yeong (37')
Keitel (66'), Schmid (74')
Wamangituka (7')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Stuttgart
1-0
Freiburg
Kalajdzic (15')
Stenzel (44'), Klimowicz (55')

Grifo (44')
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Freiburg
Kalajdzic (71'), Wamangituka (81')
Didavi (25'), Wamangituka (44')
Petersen (8'), Sallai (26'), Grifo (48')
Holer (35'), Kubler (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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