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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Wolfsburg

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Nkunku (5' pen., 90')
Henrichs (8'), Laimer (47'), Werner (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Arnold (26'), Otavio (51'), Baku (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: RB Leipzig 2-0 Wolfsburg

We expect Leipzig to record their first victory of the season on Saturday, with Wolfsburg lacking sharpness in transition to significantly hurt the home side. Tedesco's side have been dominating games without testing opposition goalkeepers enough, but that should change in front of an expectant Red Bull Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 15.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawWolfsburg
64.85% (0.52800000000001 0.53) 19.4% (-0.131 -0.13) 15.74% (-0.402 -0.4)
Both teams to score 55.4% (-0.498 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.27% (-0.199 -0.2)38.73% (0.195 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.96% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)61.04% (0.205 0.2)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.76% (0.079999999999998 0.08)11.23% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.2% (0.178 0.18)35.79% (-0.183 -0.18)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.41% (-0.618 -0.62)37.59% (0.615 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.63% (-0.612 -0.61)74.37% (0.607 0.61)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 64.85%
    Wolfsburg 15.74%
    Draw 19.4%
RB LeipzigDrawWolfsburg
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.159 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.115 0.12)
3-0 @ 7.35% (0.141 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.2% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.02% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.93% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.76% (0.045 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.72% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 64.85%
1-1 @ 9.03% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.4%
1-2 @ 4.42% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.13% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.02% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.74%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Wolfsburg

RB Leipzig
89.5%
Draw
8.8%
Wolfsburg
1.8%
57
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Orban (76'), Gvardiol (84')
Simakan (34'), Henrichs (37'), Kampl (67'), Olmo (73'), Adams (82')

Lacroix (59')
Aug 29, 2021 4.30pm
May 16, 2021 7.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-2
Wolfsburg
Kluivert (51'), Sabitzer (78' pen.)
Henrichs (20'), Konate (36'), Sabitzer (45')
Philipp (12', 45+1')
Mbabu (52'), Arnold (60'), Baku (86')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
RB Leipzig
2-0
Wolfsburg
Poulsen (63'), Hee-chan (88')
Kampl (20'), Olmo (21'), Nkunku (25')

Otavio (5'), Lacroix (35')
Jan 16, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-2
RB Leipzig
Weghorst (22'), Steffen (35')
Otavio (48'), Mbabu (50'), Weghorst (59'), Lacroix (81')
Mukiele (5'), Orban (54')
Mukiele (42'), Kampl (71'), Angelino (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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