Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
We said: VfL Bochum 1-3 Freiburg
Maintaining the eight-point gap which Bochum have on the bottom three may be tough for the hosts here, considering they have lost five in a row against Freiburg and have been leaking goals at an alarming rate recently.
The visitors have been struggling for wins themselves of late, but two fine results over the past week should give them a huge lift, even if there may be one eye on the trip to London coming up.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 38.15% . A win for Freiburg had a probability of 37.9% and a draw had a probability of 24% .
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (5.48%) . The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result VfL Bochum Draw Freiburg 38.15% ( -1.69) 23.95% ( 0.14) 37.9% ( 1.55)
Both teams to score 61.66% ( -0.42)
59.38% ( -0.59) 40.62% ( 0.59)
37% ( -0.61) 63% ( 0.61)
78.59% ( -1.07) 21.41% ( 1.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.59% ( -1.67) 54.41% ( 1.67)
78.46% ( 0.52) 21.53% ( -0.52)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.4% ( 0.8) 54.6% ( -0.79)
VfL Bochum 38.15%
Freiburg 37.9%
Draw 23.95%
VfL Bochum Draw Freiburg 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.68% Total : 38.15% 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.95% 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.9%
How you voted: VfL Bochum vs Freiburg
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rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-25 07:16:37
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