Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 25

Mar 10, 2024 at 6.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Tella (37'), Wirtz (86')
Adli (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gerhardt (7'), Jenz (12')
Jenz (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Qarabag 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 Wolfsburg

No team in Germany or on the continent appear capable of stopping Leverkusen at the moment, despite a wobble in midweek, and the league leaders should cruise to another victory this weekend. Wolfsburg have been leaking goals with regularity in 2024 so far, and that has contributed to the fact they are still yet to win since returning from the winter break, and they are unlikely to break that duck in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 68.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 14.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Wolfsburg
68.13% ( -0.45)	17.84% ( 0.26)	14.03% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 56.7% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.04% (

-0.84)

34.95% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.06% (

-0.94)

56.94% (

0.94)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.62% (

-0.32)

9.37% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.43% (

-0.77)

31.56% (

0.77)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.56% (

-0.29)

37.44% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.78% (

-0.28)

74.22% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 68.13%

Wolfsburg 14.03%

Draw 17.84%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.53% Total : 68.13%	1-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.84%	1-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.03%