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Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
BayArena
Wolfsburg

B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Tella (37'), Wirtz (86')
Adli (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gerhardt (7'), Jenz (12')
Jenz (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Qarabag 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 Wolfsburg

 No team in Germany or on the continent appear capable of stopping Leverkusen at the moment, despite a wobble in midweek, and the league leaders should cruise to another victory this weekend. Wolfsburg have been leaking goals with regularity in 2024 so far, and that has contributed to the fact they are still yet to win since returning from the winter break, and they are unlikely to break that duck in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 68.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 14.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWolfsburg
68.13% (-0.44799999999999 -0.45) 17.84% (0.26 0.26) 14.03% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 56.7% (-0.463 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.04% (-0.836 -0.84)34.95% (0.836 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.06% (-0.941 -0.94)56.94% (0.943 0.94)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.62% (-0.32199999999999 -0.32)9.37% (0.3239 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.43% (-0.77 -0.77)31.56% (0.771 0.77)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.56% (-0.286 -0.29)37.44% (0.287 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78% (-0.281 -0.28)74.22% (0.283 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 68.13%
    Wolfsburg 14.03%
    Draw 17.84%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWolfsburg
2-0 @ 9.83% (0.131 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.054 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.23 0.23)
3-0 @ 7.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.62% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
4-0 @ 4.59% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4.51% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.75% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.22% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.17% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.14% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 68.13%
1-1 @ 8.16% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.51% (0.147 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.84%
1-2 @ 4.01% (0.05 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.45% (0.119 0.12)
0-2 @ 1.69% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 14.03%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg

Bayer Leverkusen
93.6%
Draw
4.3%
Wolfsburg
2.1%
94
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Wolfsburg
1-2
B. Leverkusen
Lacroix (41')
Arnold (36'), Baku (45'), Maehle (65')
Frimpong (13'), Grimaldo (62')
Palacios (37'), Xhaka (55'), Adli (56'), Hofmann (74'), Tapsoba (86')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 28
Wolfsburg
0-0
B. Leverkusen
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Wolfsburg
Diaby (17'), Frimpong (76')
Andrich (28' og.), Arnold (54' pen.)
> Preview
Mar 20, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 27
Wolfsburg
0-2
B. Leverkusen

Lacroix (83'), Vranckx (83')
Paulinho (86', 90+2')
Adli (9'), Demirbay (83'), Hincapie (83')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
B. Leverkusen
0-2
Wolfsburg

Tah (28'), Alario (30'), Wirtz (54')
Nmecha (48'), Arnold (51')
Steffen (28'), Brooks (28')
Lacroix (90+5')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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