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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
Borisov Arena

BATE
2 - 0
Partizani Tirana

Malkevich (71'), Shestyuk (90+12')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Atanasovski (34'), Murataj (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between BATE Borisov and Partizani Tirana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Partizani Tirana 1-1 BATE
Tuesday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Partizani Tirana 1-1 BATE
Tuesday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Champions League

We said: BATE Borisov 2-1 Partizani Tirana

After the first leg produced a closely-fought contest, we expect more of the same in Tuesday's fixture, but after progressing from their last three first-round ties in Champions League qualifying, we think that BATE will edge out Partizani to squeeze through to the next stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Partizani Tirana had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Partizani Tirana win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.

Result
BATE BorisovDrawPartizani Tirana
39.68% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 27.57% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 32.76% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.7% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.06% (0.013999999999996 0.01)56.94% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.15% (0.012 0.01)77.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
BATE Borisov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (0.018000000000001 0.02)28.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (0.024000000000001 0.02)63.68% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Partizani Tirana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)32.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.16% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)68.83% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    BATE Borisov 39.67%
    Partizani Tirana 32.76%
    Draw 27.56%
BATE BorisovDrawPartizani Tirana
1-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.33% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 3.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.67%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 9.06% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.76%

How you voted: BATE vs Partizani Tirana

BATE Borisov
74.6%
Draw
14.9%
Partizani Tirana
10.4%
67
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2023 7.45pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Partizani Tirana
1-1
BATE
Cara (66')
Rrapaj (44')
Antsilevski (58')
Grechiho (45+1')
rhs 2.0
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