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Bayern logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 21, 2020 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Atletico Madrid logo

Bayern
4 - 0
Atletico

Coman (28', 72'), Goretzka (41'), Tolisso (66')
Alaba (5'), Muller (21')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lodi (43'), Koke (44'), Herrera (45+1'), Torreira (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League fixture between Bayern Munich and Atletico Madrid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 13.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.56%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.11%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawAtletico Madrid
61.63%25.16%13.22%
Both teams to score 33.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.34%64.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.35%83.66%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.79%21.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.9%54.1%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.9%57.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.9%89.1%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 61.63%
    Atletico Madrid 13.22%
    Draw 25.15%
Bayern MunichDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 18.78%
2-0 @ 14.56%
2-1 @ 8.16%
3-0 @ 7.53%
3-1 @ 4.22%
4-0 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 1.64%
3-2 @ 1.18%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 61.63%
0-0 @ 12.11%
1-1 @ 10.52%
2-2 @ 2.29%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 6.79%
1-2 @ 2.95%
0-2 @ 1.9%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 13.22%

Head to Head
Dec 6, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Bayern
1-0
Atletico

Gabi (61')
Sep 28, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Atletico
1-0
Bayern
Carrasco (35')
Niguez (15')

Lahm (25'), Alcantara (33'), Boateng (40'), Vidal (86')
May 3, 2016 7.45pm
Apr 27, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool30227170274373
2Arsenal301710355253061
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest30176750351557
4Manchester CityMan City30156957401751
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle29155949391050
6Chelsea29147853371649
7Aston Villa3013984445-148
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton30121174845347
9Fulham3012994440445
10Bournemouth301281049381144
11Brentford30125135147441
12Crystal Palace29101093734340
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd30107133741-437
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton30713103237-534
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3097143350-1734
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3085174158-1729
18Ipswich TownIpswich3048183063-3320
19Leicester CityLeicester3045212567-4217
20Southampton3024242271-4910


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