Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 75.48%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 9.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.08%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 2-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
