![Dortmund logo Dortmund logo](https://sm.imgix.net/19/06/logdor.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
![Ajax Ajax](https://sm.imgix.net/19/10/ajalog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Dortmund1 - 3Ajax
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-0 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Ajax |
27.68% | 24.51% | 47.81% |
Both teams to score 55.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.35% | 46.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.09% | 68.91% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% | 30.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.09% | 66.91% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.41% | 19.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.48% | 51.52% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund 27.68%
Ajax 47.81%
Draw 24.5%
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Ajax |
1-0 @ 7.1% 2-1 @ 6.84% 2-0 @ 4.2% 3-1 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 1.65% Other @ 3% Total : 27.68% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 6.01% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-2 @ 7.98% 1-3 @ 5.13% 0-3 @ 4.34% 2-3 @ 3.03% 1-4 @ 2.09% 0-4 @ 1.77% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.01% Total : 47.81% |
How you voted: Dortmund vs Ajax
Borussia Dortmund
28.9%Draw
16.2%Ajax
55.0%551
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2012 7.45pm
Sep 18, 2012 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-30 23:35:33
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
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2
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3
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4
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7
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8
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10
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