Liverpool

1 - 4

Man City

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.