Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 4, 2023 at 8pm UK

Celtic Park

Celtic
1 - 2
Lazio

Furuhashi (12')
Phillips (45+2'), Palma (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Vecino (29'), Pedro (90+5')
Alberto (61'), Castellanos (74'), Vecino (90+3'), Sepe (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Celtic and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Motherwell 1-2 Celtic
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Lazio
Saturday, September 30 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Winless in their last 11 meetings with British sides in UEFA competition - a run dating back to March 2000 - Lazio should end that drought with victory in Glasgow this week. Although the Biancocelesti are struggling to replicate last season's form, Celtic have been unconvincing in Europe for some time now and have some key defensive absentees. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lazio in this match.

Result
Celtic	Draw	Lazio
63.84% ( -0.3)	19.17% ( 0.2)	16.99% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 59.23% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.88% (

-0.79)

35.12% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.88% (

-0.89)

57.12% (

0.88)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.54% (

-0.3)

10.45% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.94% (

-0.68)

34.05% (

0.68)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.14% (

-0.38)

33.86% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.47% (

-0.41)

70.52% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Celtic 63.84%

Lazio 16.99%

Draw 19.17%

Celtic	Draw	Lazio
2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.05% Total : 63.84%	1-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.17%	1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 16.99%