Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Motherwell win it was 1-0 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
22.91% ( 0.04) | 23.58% ( 0) | 53.51% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.99% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.27% ( 0.04) | 46.73% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.01% ( 0.04) | 68.99% ( -0.04) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.36% ( 0.06) | 34.65% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.63% ( 0.06) | 71.37% ( -0.06) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.6% ( 0) | 17.4% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.18% ( 0) | 47.82% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
1-0 @ 6.39% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 22.91% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.58% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.7% 0-3 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.49% 0-4 @ 2.35% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 3.74% Total : 53.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |