Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
1 - 1
Monza

Immobile (12' pen.)
Rovella (88'), Alberto (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gagliardini (36')
Izzo (38'), Mota (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 1-1 Atletico
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monza

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 1-1 Lecce
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Neither Sarri's team nor Monza head into Saturday's game in top form, and the visitors ideally should back themselves to secure a first point against Sarri's men at the Olimpico. However, the away side's defeats at Inter and Atalanta BC suggest another loss could be on the cards despite Lazio's European exertions on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Monza had a probability of 15.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Monza
63.88% ( 0.05)	20.5% ( -0.03)	15.62% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 51.26% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.96% (

0.06)

44.04% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.58% (

0.06)

66.42% (

-0.07)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.9% (

0.03)

13.1% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.28% (

0.07)

39.72% (

-0.08)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.98% (

41.02% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.43% (

77.57% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Lazio 63.86%

Monza 15.62%

Draw 20.5%

Lazio	Draw	Monza
2-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 63.86%	1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.5%	0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 15.62%