Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Rangers win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Rangers | Draw | Celtic |
34.58% ( 0.47) | 23.81% ( 0.36) | 41.61% ( -0.83) |
Both teams to score 61.77% ( -1.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.69% ( -1.64) | 40.3% ( 1.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.32% ( -1.71) | 62.68% ( 1.71) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.88% ( -0.51) | 23.12% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.02% ( -0.75) | 56.97% ( 0.74) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.34% ( -1.04) | 19.65% ( 1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.37% ( -1.72) | 51.63% ( 1.72) |
Score Analysis |
Rangers | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.58% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.18% Total : 41.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |