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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lazio logo

AC Milan
2 - 0
Lazio

Pulisic (60'), Okafor (88')
Leao (65'), Hernandez (83'), Maignan (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Marusic (51'), Romagnoli (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-3 AC Milan
Wednesday, September 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-0 Torino
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Lazio

 Milan are generally tough opponents on home turf, but Lazio recently relieved building pressure with a win and have already toppled the champions in Naples this term. The Biancocelesti cannot afford to lose much more ground to their hosts, so a point apiece would probably suit them and also leave the Rossoneri relatively content. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawLazio
56.11% (0.061999999999998 0.06) 23.74% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 20.15% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.69% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45% (0.063000000000002 0.06)50.54% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53% (0.055 0.05)72.46% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (0.045000000000002 0.05)17.84% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (0.077999999999996 0.08)48.59% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)39.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.79% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)76.2% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 56.11%
    Lazio 20.15%
    Draw 23.73%
AC MilanDrawLazio
1-0 @ 12.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.41% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 56.11%
1-1 @ 11.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.73%
0-1 @ 6.55% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.4%
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 20.15%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Lazio

AC Milan
73.4%
Draw
21.9%
Lazio
4.7%
64
Head to Head
May 6, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 34
AC Milan
2-0
Lazio
Bennacer (17'), Hernandez (29')
> Preview
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Lazio
4-0
AC Milan
Milinkovic-Savic (4'), Zaccagni (38'), Alberto (67' pen.), Anderson (75')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Lazio
1-2
AC Milan
Immobile (4')
Strakosha (8'), Leiva (53'), Cataldi (74')
Giroud (50'), Tonali (90+2')
Tomori (26'), Kalulu (83'), Ibrahimovic (85'), Tonali (90+4')
> Preview
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
AC Milan
4-0
Lazio
Leao (24'), Giroud (41', 45+1'), Kessie (79')
Tonali (22')

Felipe (15')
> Preview
Sep 12, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 3
AC Milan
2-0
Lazio
Leao (45'), Ibrahimovic (67')
Bakayoko (63')

Marusic (17'), Reina (45+5'), Alberto (45+7'), Hysaj (57')
Sarri (90+5')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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