Serie A | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan2 - 0Lazio
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cagliari 1-3 AC Milan
Wednesday, September 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Wednesday, September 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
We said: AC Milan 1-1 Lazio
Milan are generally tough opponents on home turf, but Lazio recently relieved building pressure with a win and have already toppled the champions in Naples this term. The Biancocelesti cannot afford to lose much more ground to their hosts, so a point apiece would probably suit them and also leave the Rossoneri relatively content. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Lazio |
56.11% ( 0.06) | 23.74% ( -0.03) | 20.15% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.69% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.45% ( 0.06) | 50.54% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.53% ( 0.05) | 72.46% ( -0.06) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( 0.05) | 17.84% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.4% ( 0.08) | 48.59% ( -0.08) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.48% ( -0) | 39.51% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.79% ( -0) | 76.2% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
AC Milan 56.11%
Lazio 20.15%
Draw 23.73%
| AC Milan | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 56.11% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0)Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.4% 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.36% Total : 20.15% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Lazio
AC Milan
73.4%Draw
21.9%Lazio
4.7%64
Head to Head
May 6, 2023 2pm
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Lazio
4-0
AC Milan
Sep 12, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 3
AC Milan
2-0
Lazio
