

Qarabag5 - 0Lincoln
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Qarabag FK 2-0 Lincoln Red Imps (Qarabag win 4-0 on aggregate)
If Qarabag's home record is any indication, then Lincon Red Imps could struggle once again. Additionally, given the visitors must score at least twice, it would not be a surprise to see the hosts take advantage of Lincoln's desperation during a counter-attack. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.
Result | ||
Qarabag FK | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps |
58.19% (![]() | 21.69% (![]() | 20.11% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.21% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.15% (![]() | 41.84% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.75% (![]() | 64.24% (![]() |
Qarabag FK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.89% (![]() | 14.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.27% (![]() | 41.73% (![]() |
Lincoln Red Imps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.44% (![]() | 34.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.73% (![]() | 71.27% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Qarabag FK | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps |
2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.55% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.35% 3-1 @ 6.49% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.99% 4-2 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.06% Total : 58.19% | 1-1 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 5.28% 0-0 @ 4.87% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 5.39% 0-1 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.04% Total : 20.11% |
How you voted: Qarabag vs Lincoln

Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 73 |
2 | Arsenal | 30 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 61 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 57 |
4 | Chelsea | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 51 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 50 |
7 | Aston Villa | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 48 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 47 |
9 | Fulham | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 45 |
10 | Bournemouth | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 44 |
11 | Brentford | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 41 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 40 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 37 |
14 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 30 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 55 | 44 | 11 | 34 |
15 | Everton | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 34 |
16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 34 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 29 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 20 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 67 | -42 | 17 |
20 | Southampton | 30 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 10 |
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