Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
Tofik Bakhramov
Qarabag1 - 2Ludogorets
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 1-0 Ludogorets
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.45pm in Champions League
We said: Qarabag FK 2-1 Ludogorets Razgrad
As Ludogorets do not tend to travel well in Europe, a tough trip to Tofiq Bahramov Stadium may see their losing streak away from home continue. Vastly experienced, Qarabag are similarly dominant domestically, and their fine Europa League run last term demonstrates just how dangerous they can be. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 41.2% | 24.91% | 33.89% |
| Both teams to score 57.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
