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Champions League
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 12, 2022 at 5pm UK
Vilniaus LFF stadionas
Ballkani

Zalgiris
1 - 0
KF Ballkani

Oyewusi (97')
Mamic (21'), Milickovic (40'), Mikoliunas (54'), Oyewusi (78')
FT
(aet)

Emerllahu (52'), Rrahmani (119')
Zalgiris win 0-0 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between FK Zalgiris and KF Ballkani, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Zalgiris

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: KF Ballkani 1-1 Zalgiris
Tuesday, July 5 at 7pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

KF Ballkani

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: KF Ballkani 1-1 Zalgiris
Tuesday, July 5 at 7pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We say: FK Zalgiris 2-0 KF Ballkani

 The first leg was a lot closer than expected, but we are finding it difficult to back Ballkani to triumph on Tuesday evening. Zalgiris, arguably, have the superior quality in their squad, and we are expecting them to advance to the next round of the competition with a 3-1 aggregate success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KF Ballkani win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a KF Ballkani win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.

Result
FK ZalgirisDrawKF Ballkani
37% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 25.18% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 37.82% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.11% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.5% (0.022999999999996 0.02)46.5% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.22% (0.023 0.02)68.77% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (0.007000000000005 0.01)24.65% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)59.17% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
KF Ballkani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79% (0.016999999999996 0.02)24.21% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.45% (0.021999999999998 0.02)58.55% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    FK Zalgiris 37%
    KF Ballkani 37.82%
    Draw 25.18%
FK ZalgirisDrawKF Ballkani
1-0 @ 8.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.3%
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 37%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6%
1-3 @ 3.98% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 37.82%

How you voted: Zalgiris vs KF Ballkani

FK Zalgiris
80.6%
Draw
9.7%
KF Ballkani
9.7%
31
Head to Head
Jul 5, 2022 7pm
KF Ballkani
1-1
Zalgiris
Gripshi (15')
Emerllahu (44'), Jashanica (55'), Dellova (85')
Buff (25')
Kyeremeh (51'), Mikoliunas (64')
rhs 2.0
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