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Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 27, 2021 at 5pm UK
Bolt Arena
Malmo

HJK Helsinki
2 - 2
Malmo

Tenho (1'), Riski (78')
Riski (3'), Valencic (40'), Lingman (45+1'), Jair (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Christiansen (10'), Birmancevic (76')
Innocent (22'), Nalic (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between HJK Helsinki and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawMalmo
28.05%24.65%47.29%
Both teams to score 55.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96%47.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72%69.28%
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.41%30.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17%66.82%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.04%19.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.88%52.12%
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 28.05%
    Malmo 47.29%
    Draw 24.65%
HJK HelsinkiDrawMalmo
1-0 @ 7.23%
2-1 @ 6.9%
2-0 @ 4.28%
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.2%
3-0 @ 1.69%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.05%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 6.11%
2-2 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 9.84%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-2 @ 7.93%
1-3 @ 5.04%
0-3 @ 4.26%
2-3 @ 2.99%
1-4 @ 2.03%
0-4 @ 1.72%
2-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 47.29%

How you voted: HJK Helsinki vs Malmo

HJK Helsinki
26.0%
Draw
11.5%
Malmo
62.5%
104
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2021 6pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Malmo
2-1
HJK Helsinki
Colak (45+1'), Christiansen (74')
Larsson (61'), Ahmedhodzic (88')
Riski (68')
Riski (12')
rhs 2.0
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