Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2021 at 6pm UK
Eleda Stadion (Malmö)
Malmo2 - 1HJK Helsinki
FT(HT: 1-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 45.46% | 25.49% | 29.04% |
| Both teams to score 53.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.95% | 50.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.97% | 72.02% |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% | 21.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.7% | 55.3% |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% | 31.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.2% | 67.79% |
| Score Analysis |
Malmo 45.46%
HJK Helsinki 29.04%
Draw 25.49%
| Malmo | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.31% Total : 45.46% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 4.63% 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.85% Total : 29.04% |
How you voted: Malmo vs HJK Helsinki
Malmo
81.7%Draw
11.0%HJK Helsinki
7.3%109
