Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2021 at 6pm UK
Eleda Stadion (Malmö)
Malmo2 - 1HJK Helsinki
FT(HT: 1-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
Result | ||
Malmo | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
45.46% | 25.49% | 29.04% |
Both teams to score 53.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.95% | 50.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.97% | 72.02% |
Malmo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78% | 21.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.7% | 55.3% |
HJK Helsinki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.58% | 31.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.2% | 67.79% |
Score Analysis |
Malmo 45.46%
HJK Helsinki 29.04%
Draw 25.49%
Malmo | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.31% Total : 45.46% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 4.63% 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.85% Total : 29.04% |
How you voted: Malmo vs HJK Helsinki
Malmo
81.7%Draw
11.0%HJK Helsinki
7.3%109
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-03 00:59:47
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
England
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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