Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)
Ludogorets4 - 0KF Ballkani
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: KF Ballkani 2-0 Ludogorets
Tuesday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Tuesday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Champions League
We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 2-2 KF Ballkani (KF Ballkani to win 4-2 on aggregate)
Buoyed by last week's triumph on home soil, Ballkani will be determined to complete the job on Wednesday, while Ludogorets have no choice but to go for broke. We expect the second leg to be a chaotic affair as Ludogorets aim to overcome the two-goal deficit, but the hosts' approach will likely leave them exposed at the back. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for KF Ballkani had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a KF Ballkani win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | KF Ballkani |
60.4% ( -0.05) | 21.78% ( 0.02) | 17.81% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
