Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadiumi i qytetit Suhareke
KF Ballkani2 - 0Ludogorets
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: CFR Cluj 1-0 KF Ballkani
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-1 Ludogorets (3-0 pen.)
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
We said: KF Ballkani 1-2 Ludogorets Razgrad
In recent years, Ballkani have punched above their weight, but Ludogorets will provide a particularly stern test due to their depth of European experience. As pre-season appears to have gone well, the Bulgarian champions can therefore return home with a lead before next week's return in Razgrad. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 49.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for KF Ballkani had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a KF Ballkani win it was 1-0 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| KF Ballkani | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
23.73% ( -0.06) | 26.31% ( 0.01) | 49.96% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.77% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.28% ( -0.07) | 56.72% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.33% ( -0.06) | 77.67% ( 0.06) |
| KF Ballkani Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.56% ( -0.09) | 39.44% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.87% ( -0.09) | 76.13% ( 0.09) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.22% ( -0.01) | 22.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.52% ( -0.01) | 56.48% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
KF Ballkani 23.73%
Ludogorets Razgrad 49.96%
Draw 26.31%
| KF Ballkani | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.42% Total : 23.73% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 49.96% |
How you voted: KF Ballkani vs Ludogorets
KF Ballkani
16.3%Draw
9.3%Ludogorets Razgrad
74.4%43
Form Guide
