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Champions League header

Champions League
Manchester City logo
Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Bayern logo

Man City
3 - 0
Bayern

Rodri (27'), Silva (70'), Braut Haaland (76')
Silva (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Davies (49'), Pavard (88')

The Match

Match Report

A dominant Manchester City record a 3-0 victory over Bayern Munich in the first leg of their Champions League quarter-final at the Etihad Stadium.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Manchester City and Bayern Munich.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Manchester City and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Bayern Munich could line up for their Champions League clash with Manchester City at the Etihad on Tuesday.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Southampton 1-4 Man City
Saturday, April 8 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Freiburg 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.2%) and 1-0 (4.82%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawBayern Munich
42.13% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 21.61% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 36.25% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 70.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.14% (0.021000000000001 0.02)28.86% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.19% (0.026000000000003 0.03)49.8% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.25% (0.0040000000000049 0)14.75% (0.0029999999999983 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.97% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92% (0.024000000000001 0.02)17.08% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.74% (0.036000000000001 0.04)47.26% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 42.13%
    Bayern Munich 36.25%
    Draw 21.61%
Manchester CityDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.61% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 4.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 2.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.2%
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-3 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 42.13%
1-1 @ 8.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 7.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.71% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-0 @ 2.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 7.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.44% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-3 @ 4.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.96% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.88% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-4 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 36.25%

How you voted: Man City vs Bayern

Manchester City
55.6%
Draw
16.7%
Bayern Munich
27.7%
610
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2022 12.15am
Bayern
0-1
Man City

Kimmich (36'), Pavard (62'), Hernandez (74')
Braut Haaland (12')
Cancelo (70'), Phillips (72')
Jul 29, 2018 12.05am
Pre-season Friendlies
Man City
3-2
Bayern
Silva (45', 70'), Nmecha (51')
Silva (40')
Shabani (15'), Robben (24')
> Match Report
Jul 20, 2016 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Bayern
1-0
Man City
Ozturk (76')

Fernandinho (72')
> Match Report
Nov 25, 2014 7.45pm
Group E
Man City
3-2
Bayern
> Match Report
Sep 17, 2014 7.45pm
Group E
Bayern
1-0
Man City
> Match Report
Build-up
Bayern Munich coach Thomas Tuchel reacts on April 1, 2023
Thomas Tuchel discusses Pep Guardiola, Erling Haaland ahead of "huge" Manchester City test
Bayern Munich boss Thomas Tuchel acknowledges the qualities of Manchester City's Pep Guardiola and Erling Braut Haaland ahead of Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg at the Etihad Stadium.
Apr 10, 23:35
 Bayern Munich's Thomas Muller celebrates scoring their third goal with teammates on April 1, 2023
Thomas Muller looking to make Champions League history against Manchester City
Thomas Muller will set a new Champions League record for wins if his Bayern Munich side beat Manchester City at the Etihad on Tuesday.
Apr 10, 19:23
 Thomas Tuchel and Pep Guardiola pictured on January 15, 2022
Pep Guardiola talks up 'difficult' Thomas Tuchel challenge ahead of Bayern Munich clash
Manchester City's Pep Guardiola believes there is little to separate Bayern Munich boss Thomas Tuchel and his predecessor Julian Nagelsmann and is expecting a 'difficult' test against the German giants in their Champions League quarter-final tie.
Apr 10, 15:50
 Manchester City's Erling Braut Haaland pictured in March 2023
Erling Braut Haaland's record vs. Bayern Munich
Ahead of Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg between Manchester City and Bayern Munich, Sports Mole takes a closer look at Erling Braut Haaland's record against the German giants.
Apr 10, 13:44
 Manchester City's Phil Foden pictured on February 18, 2023
Manchester City team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Bayern Munich
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.
Apr 9, 16:41
 Bayern Munich's Thomas Muller celebrates scoring their third goal with teammates on April 1, 2023
How Bayern Munich could line up against Manchester City
Sports Mole looks at how Bayern Munich could line up for their Champions League clash with Manchester City at the Etihad on Tuesday.
Apr 9, 15:26
 Julian Alvarez celebrates scoring for Manchester City on April 1, 2023
How Manchester City could line up against Bayern Munich
Sports Mole looks at how Manchester City could line up for Tuesday's Champions League clash with Bayern Munich at the Etihad.
Apr 9, 15:17
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