Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Bayern4 - 2Dortmund
The Match
Match Report
Bayern Munich hammer title rivals Borussia Dortmund 4-2 in Thomas Tuchel's first game, leapfrogging their Klassiker rivals at the top of the Bundesliga table.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Bayern
Sunday, March 19 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, March 19 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 6-1 FC Koln
Saturday, March 18 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, March 18 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 16.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 66.32% | 17.22% | 16.46% |
| Both teams to score 65.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
